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France and Spain to face off in World Cup semi-final in Dallas
The first semi-final of the 2026 FIFA World Cup will see France take on Spain at Dallas Stadium. Opta's supercomputer gives France a 42.1% chance of winning and Spain a 31.8% chance.
Two European giants, France and Spain, will take to the pitch in Dallas in the semi-final stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. The match will feature a showdown between stars such as Kylian Mbappe and Lamine Yamal.
According to analysis by Opta's supercomputer, France's probability of winning in regular time is calculated at 42.1 percent. Spain's chance of victory stands at 31.8 percent. The probability of the match going to extra time is 26.1 percent.
Past encounters
The two teams have faced each other 38 times in history. Spain holds the upper hand with 18 wins, while France has won 13 matches and 7 ended in draws. In their most recent meeting, the 2025 UEFA Nations League semi-final, Spain triumphed 5-4 with two goals from Yamal.
Their only World Cup encounter took place in 2006, when France defeated Spain 3-1 with goals from Ribery, Vieira and Zidane.
Stadium information
The contest will be played at Dallas Stadium in the Arlington area of Texas. Normally the home of NFL team the Dallas Cowboys, the stadium, with a capacity of 70,649 spectators, will host the most matches of the tournament.
Key players
France's most influential figure is Kylian Mbappe, who leads the Golden Boot race with 8 goals and 3 assists in the tournament. Ousmane Dembele (5 goals) and Michael Olise (5 assists) are also making significant attacking contributions.
For Spain, Real Sociedad forward Mikel Oyarzabal is the team's top scorer with 4 goals. Mikel Moreno (2 goals) and Marc Cucurella (2 assists) are contributing, while Lamine Yamal, recently returned from injury, has so far managed one goal.
Team analysis
France possesses a strong attacking line led by Mbappe, formed by Barcola, Dembele and Olise. The team, which has kept three consecutive clean sheets in the knockout rounds, is also drawing attention with its defence.
Spain, meanwhile, stands out with a solid defence that has conceded only one goal in the tournament. However, the team, which has been sluggish in attack at times, managed to win its last two matches only through late goals from substitute Merino.
If the match is tied at the end of regular time, two 15-minute extra-time periods will be played. If the deadlock remains unbroken after extra time, the match will go to a penalty shootout.
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