The U.S. Democratic Party is on course to win a majority in the House of Representatives in the midterm elections scheduled for Tuesday, November 3, according to polling averages. The elections will mark the first major electoral test for President Donald Trump in his second term.
The elections cover all 435 seats in the House of Representatives and 35 of the Senate’s 100 seats.
Democrats hold an advantage in the House
According to RealClearPolitics, which aggregates national and state-level polls, Democrats are expected to win 227 seats in the House of Representatives compared with 182 for Republicans, while 26 seats remain closely contested. A party needs 218 seats to secure a majority. Republicans currently hold 218 seats, compared with 214 for Democrats, along with one independent seat and two vacant seats.
Senate control hinges on eight states
In the Senate, estimates put Democrats at 47 seats and Republicans at 45, while the race remains close in eight states. Seven of those contests lean Republican and one leans Democratic.
If Republicans win at least five of those eight seats, they will reach 50 seats. In the event of a 50-50 tie, Vice President JD Vance, as president of the Senate, could give his party the deciding vote. Republicans currently hold 53 seats in the chamber, compared with 45 for Democrats, in addition to two independents who generally vote with Democrats.
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