With 57.3% of the vote counted in Israel, the governing bloc has 55 seats while the opposition bloc has 49.
A majority of 61 lawmakers is required to form a government in Israel’s 120-seat parliament. If the current picture holds, neither bloc can reach that majority on its own.
The weight of Palestinian parties in the seat arithmetic
Parties representing Palestinians who are Israeli citizens are expected to win a combined 16 seats. The Joint List, made up of three parties, is projected to receive 12 seats, while Mansour Abbas’ Ra’am Party is projected to receive 4.
This distribution brings the position of parties representing Palestinians to the forefront in forming a coalition majority.

Current seat projections for the parties
Within the governing bloc, the Likud Party ranks first with 27 seats. Yashar, led by former Chief of the General Staff Eisenkot, is projected to have 21 seats.
On the opposition side, Yair Golan’s Democrats Party has 9 seats, Avigdor Liberman’s Yisrael Beiteinu has 8, and the Together List of former prime ministers Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid is projected to have 11.
Other projections for the governing bloc give 7 seats to the Shas Party, which represents ultra-Orthodox Jews, and 9 to United Torah Judaism. Itamar Ben-Gvir’s Jewish Power Party and Bezalel Smotrich’s Religious Zionism Party, Netanyahu’s far-right allies, are each expected to win 6 seats.